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Additionally, the 2024 bitcoin halving reduced revenue and profits for miners, putting financial pressure on them. They may need to sell more bitcoin to cover their costs. If miners flood the market with excess bitcoin, it could counteract the positive effects of lower interest rates. Historically, a steep rise in the price of bitcoin, triggered by a buying frenzy, has been followed by a sharp fall and then a gradual recovery. Although there is no guarantee this pattern will repeat, the process is widely described as the bitcoin cycle. The fatal mistake, says Jaime Leverton, CEO of mining company Hut 8, was to imagine that that 2021 was different—that the industry was in a “supercycle” that was going to “break prior cycles” and extend the hot streak. A lot of people bought into this idea, she explains, and so were caught off-guard when the market tanked.

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